Permutations: Who will qualify or be eliminated on August 29?

MANILA (Philippines) - There has been no lack of drama at the FIBA Basketball World Cup 2023 and we're heading for even more excitement with do-or-die games approaching in Groups A, D, E and H.

Five teams from these groups – Canada, Germany, Latvia, Lithuania, Montenegro – have already booked their tickets to the Second Round on Sunday, while five more have been eliminated from contention for the title.

With the game schedule staggered, we could also see more teams qualifying from Groups B, C, F and G on Monday. For more information, click here. 

Groups A, D, E and H will be back in action again on Tuesday, August 29 to determine which teams will advance further and which teams will have to settle for Classification Games. 

Here's a look at the situation in these groups ahead of Gameday 3. We've done the math, so you don't have to!

Group A

4/6 games played

		GAMES				GAME POINTS					POINTS
#	Team	P	W	L	%	For	Agt	+/-	FA	AA
1	DOM	2	2	0	100	174	163	11	87	81.5	4
2	ITA	2	1	1	50.0	163	154	9	81.5	77	3
3	ANG	2	1	1	50.0	147	151	-4	73.5	75.5	3
4	PHI	2	0	2	0	151	167	-16	75.5	83.5	2

Dominican Republic

DOM would be eliminated from contention if: 

-DOM lose to ANG by 10 points or more and 
-ITA beat PHI

All other scenarios would qualify Dominican Republic for the Second Round. 

Italy

ITA would be eliminated from contention if: 

-ITA lose to PHI and 
-ANG beat DOM 

OR 

-ITA lose to PHI by 12 points or more and 
-DOM beat ANG 

All other scenarios would qualify Italy for the Second Round. 

Angola

ANG would qualify for the Second Round if: 

-ANG beat DOM and 
-PHI beat ITA 

OR 

-ANG beat DOM by 10 points or more
-ITA beat PHI 

All other scenarios would eliminate Angola from contention. 

Philippines

PHI would qualify for the Second Round if: 

-PHI beat ITA by 12 points or more and 
-DOM beat ANG 

All other scenarios would eliminate the Philippines from contention. 

Group D

4/6 games played

		GAMES				GAME POINTS					POINTS
#	Team	P	W	L	%	For	Agt	+/-	FA	AA
1	LTU (1)	2	2	0	100	189	133	56	94.5	66.5	4
2	MNE (1)	2	2	0	100	180	145	35	90	72.5	4
3	EGY	2	0	2	0	141	182	-41	70.5	91	2
4	MEX	2	0	2	0	137	187	-50	68.5	93.5	2

^{(1) - Qualified for the Second Round} 

Lithuania and Montenegro have already qualified for the Second Round.

The winner of LTU v MNE will finish first in the group, the loser will be second.

Egypt and Mexico are already out of contention for the title.

The winner of EGY v MEX will will finish third in the group, the loser will be fourth.  

Group E

4/6 games played

		GAMES				GAME POINTS					POINTS
#	Team	P	W	L	%	For	Agt	+/-	FA	AA
1	GER (1)	2	2	0	100	166	145	21	83	72.5	4
2	AUS	2	1	1	50.0	180	157	23	90	78.5	3
3	JPN	2	1	1	50.0	161	169	-8	80.5	84.5	3
4	FIN	2	0	2	0	160	196	-36	80	98	2

^{(1) - Qualified for the Second Round}

Germany have already qualified for the Second Round

They are guaranteed to finish first in the group.

Australia would qualify for the Second Round if they beat Japan.

The winner of AUS v JPN will finish second in the group, the loser will be third and out of contention for the title.

Japan would qualify for the Second Round if they beat Australia.

The winner of AUS v JPN will will finish second in the group, the loser will be third and out of contention for the title.

Finland are already out of contention for the title.

They are guaranteed to finish fourth in the group.

Group H

4/6 games played

		GAMES				GAME POINTS					POINTS
#	Team	P	W	L	%	For	Agt	+/-	FA	AA
1	CAN (1)	2	2	0	100	223	138	85	111.5	69	4
2	LAT (1)	2	2	0	100	197	156	41	98.5	78	4
3	FRA	2	0	2	0	151	183	-32	75.5	91.5	2
4	LBN	2	0	2	0	143	237	-94	71.5	118.5	2

^{(1) - Qualified for the Second Round} 

Canada and Latvia have already qualified for the Second Round.

The winner of CAN v LAT finish first in the group, the loser will be second.

France and Lebanon are already out of contention for the title.

The winner of FRA v LBN will will finish third in the group, the loser will be fourth. 

DISCLAIMER: The above analysis has been prepared solely for the purpose of improving the experience of fans. It is not to be understood as advice or as binding information on the FIBA Basketball World Cup 2023 for competition purposes.

FIBA