MIAMI (United States) - With the third and final window of the FIBA AmeriCup 2025 Qualifiers just around the corner, it’s time to present our anticipated Power Ranking. This ranking is not related to the FIBA World Ranking; instead, we place teams based on how each one is entering the window, considering their most recent results, their selected players, their upcoming opponents, and their position in the standings. With Brazil, Uruguay, and host country Nicaragua already qualified for the FIBA AmeriCup 2025, and Canada, Argentina, and the United States leading their respective groups, here’s the landscape heading into the final two games:
1. BRA (-)
Record: 4-0 The South American giant, already qualified, has looked superior to the rest of their Group B opponents throughout the qualifiers and is on track to finish undefeated. They will face tough away games in Uruguay and then Panama, but with star players like Bruno Caboclo, Yago Dos Santos, Georginho De Paula, Didi Louzada and Marcio Santos, Brazil seem to have all the tools to succeed in both matches.
2. USA (+1)
Record: 3-1 The Americans will close out their campaign on the road but have everything in their favor to secure their qualification in Group D. They’ll face a tough first game in Puerto Rico, which will feature a strong team. However, they also have several G League players who have performed well in previous windows, such as Javonte Smart, John Jenkins, Jahmi’us Ramsey, and Robert Covington. Additionally, they will debut the powerful Nassir Little. A win would guarantee their ticket to the continental tournament, even with a Bahamas loss.
3. CAN (-1)
Record: 4-0 Canada has shown great rhythm and, like Brazil, is unbeaten. They shouldn’t have problems qualifying, but they must stay sharp in these two final games against the tough Dominican Republic and Mexico. Trae Bell-Haynes, Mfiondu Kabengele, Aaron Best, Lloyd Pandi, and Phil Scrubb, along with other regulars, are once again included in the roster. A win will secure their qualification, but if the worst-case scenario for them were to happen in Group C, a three-way tie, they still have a good advantage in points difference.
4. ARG (-)
Record: 3-1 Argentina got back on track in the previous window with two victories and now needs one more to secure their qualification. In fact, a Chile loss would also qualify them. They’ll close out with two away games against Venezuela and Colombia, but there’s a good chance that players like Facundo Campazzo, Leandro Bolmaro, and Luca Vildoza—who are among the eligible players—will join the squad. Their mere presence places them above their rivals. Even if one of these players doesn’t make it, the team remains balanced with talented young players and several veterans.
5. PUR (-)
Record: 2-2 After much anticipation, Puerto Rico will finally see the debut of point guard Markus Howard, who has NBA and EuroLeague experience. The Puerto Ricans aren’t holding back for these two final home games against the United States and Cuba, and they’ve gathered several key players such as Tremont Waters, George Conditt IV, Gian Clavell, and Isaiah Piñeiro, among others. With this roster, they are capable of competing with anyone and are aiming for victories, though even a Bahamas loss would be enough to seal their spot in the AmeriCup.
6. URU (-)
Record: 3-1 Uruguay enters the window relaxed and already qualified. No matter what happens, their work is already done, but they have a great chance to shine in front of their home crowd. Despite losing to Brazil in the previous window, they played well. Getting revenge at home against Brazil would be the cherry on top to cap off a strong qualifying campaign.
7. DOM (-)
Record: 2-2 The Dominican Republic has not publicly announced their player list yet, but it is known that they will have Jean Montero, Ángel Delgado, Andrés Feliz, and the debuts of Joel Soriano and David Jones, who have been performing well in the G League. In fact, Jones has even had a brief stint with the NBA’s Utah Jazz this season. With such a challenging situation in Group C, it’s understandable they will have their key players available. They’ll try to defeat Canada at home to avoid complications, having already secured their head-to-head advantage against Mexico, and want to avoid a potential three-way tie.
8. MEX (+1)
Record: 2-2 Like the Dominican Republic, Mexico needs to beat Canada to have any hopes, as Group C only has two spots available due to Nicaragua’s automatic qualification as host. Mexico needs to take full advantage of their home games in these final two matches. The good news is that Pako Cruz, Gabriel Girón, and promising prospect Karim López—who is increasingly impressing—will return to the team.
9. COL (+2)
Record: 2-2 Colombia has a great chance to seal their qualification at home. To do so, they must beat Chile, a team they’ve already defeated on the road. In this window, they will have their main players like Jaime Echenique, Juan Tello, and Andrés Ibargüen, among others, and Braian Angola, the scorer, will return. Everything seems to be in place for the Colombian team.
10. CHI (-2)
Record: 2-2 Chile controls their fate despite playing away in Colombia and Venezuela. The team has shown improvement in these qualifiers, even defeating Argentina, but they still have one more step to go and will have to perform in front of hostile crowds and without one of their key players, center Manny Suárez, who will be out with an injury.
11. PAN (+1)
Record: 1-3 Though they have a negative record, Panama is in a favorable position in Group B. They will be playing at home and will face Paraguay, which, statistically, has been the weakest team in the qualifiers. A win against Paraguay would be enough to secure their qualification, even with a loss by a margin smaller than 37 points, as they won the first match between both teams with that advantage.
12. CUB (-2)
Record: 2-2 Cuba will play a crucial match against the Bahamas on the road and just needs a win to qualify. In their first matchup, they won by 14 points, and they could still lose by a smaller margin and maintain the head-to-head advantage. The real issue could arise if there’s a three-way tie in Group C, so winning is their best option. At the time of publication, their player list had not been announced, so it’s uncertain which key players will be available.
13. VEN (-)
Record: 1-3 In this final window, Venezuela has the advantage of playing at home, but their situation is very complicated. They must win both games against Argentina and Chile and hope for other favorable results. The generation that brought them success in the last decade is running out of steam, and if they fail to qualify, these may be the final games for players like Gregory Vargas, David Cubillán, Windi Graterol, and Jhornan Zamora.
14. BAH (-)
Record: 1-3 The Bahamas still have a chance to fight for qualification if they can defeat Cuba in the first match, but then they’ll face the United States, where their chances are slim against the world’s number one team. Playing at home with the support of their fans gives them an advantage, but they have very little margin for error.
15. NCA (-)
Record: 0-4 As in previous qualifiers games, Nicaragua has no pressure, having already secured their spot in the AmeriCup as hosts. The goal for these games remains to gain experience and build chemistry for the continental tournament. They will face Mexico and the Dominican Republic, and a victory against these two teams, who have recently played in the World Cup, would be a huge achievement.
16. PAR (-)
Record: 0-4 The only chance for Paraguay is to defeat Panama on the road by more than 37 points; otherwise, they will be officially eliminated. This scenario looks highly unlikely, considering they are the team that scores the fewest points in the qualifiers (61.0 per game) and concedes the most (104.5). FIBA